Joerg Hiller
Nov 18, 2025 11:15
Toncoin technical analysis suggests potential 39-50% upside to $2.50-$2.70 range despite current bearish momentum, with critical support holding at $1.75-$1.79.
TON Price Prediction Summary
• TON short-term target (1 week): $2.01-$2.28 (+12-27%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $2.50-$2.70 range (+39-50%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $2.09 resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $1.75-$1.79 zone
Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts
The TON price prediction landscape shows remarkable consensus among cryptocurrency analysts, with multiple forecasts converging on the $2.50-$2.70 target range. CoinCodex’s AI-driven model presents the most aggressive short-term Toncoin forecast, projecting a 28% surge to $2.28 within five days based on algorithmic pattern recognition.
Blockchain.News maintains consistency in their medium-term outlook, repeatedly citing the $2.50-$2.70 range as achievable despite current bearish momentum. Their analysis emphasizes TON’s proximity to 52-week lows as a contrarian opportunity. Meanwhile, FX Leaders takes a more conservative approach with their $2.01 target, heavily weighted on traditional momentum indicators showing bearish divergence.
The analytical consensus reveals medium confidence across all major TON price prediction sources, suggesting cautious optimism rather than euphoric bullishness. This measured approach appears prudent given TON’s current technical positioning near critical support levels.
TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Recovery
Toncoin technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency positioned at an inflection point, trading 56% below its 52-week high of $4.11. The current price of $1.80 sits precariously near the lower Bollinger Band at $1.69, with a %B position of 0.17 indicating oversold conditions that often precede reversals.
The RSI reading of 34.39 places TON in neutral territory with room for upward movement before reaching overbought levels. However, the MACD histogram at -0.0150 continues to signal bearish momentum, though the gap between MACD (-0.1243) and its signal line (-0.1093) suggests momentum is weakening.
Moving average structure tells a bearish story in the near term, with price trading below all key averages. The 7-day SMA at $1.87 provides immediate resistance, followed by the critical 20-day SMA at $2.02. The wide spread between the 50-day ($2.24) and 200-day ($2.90) moving averages indicates significant work needed for a sustainable trend reversal.
Volume analysis shows $18.3 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, which represents moderate interest but lacks the conviction typically seen in major trend reversals. The Daily ATR of $0.14 suggests contained volatility, potentially indicating accumulation before a directional move.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for TON
The optimistic TON price target scenario envisions a recovery rally beginning with a break above the immediate resistance at $1.87 (7-day SMA). Success here would target the $2.01 level identified by FX Leaders, representing a 12% gain from current levels.
A sustained move above $2.09 resistance would activate the medium-term Toncoin forecast targeting $2.50-$2.70. This scenario requires RSI to climb above 50, MACD to achieve a bullish crossover, and price to reclaim the 20-day moving average at $2.02. The TON price prediction models suggest this outcome has a 37-48% probability based on historical support/resistance interactions.
Volume expansion above 25 million daily would provide crucial confirmation of institutional re-engagement. The ultimate bullish target sits at $2.70, representing a 50% gain that would restore confidence in TON’s longer-term trajectory.
Bearish Risk for Toncoin
Failure to maintain the critical $1.79 pivot point would activate bearish scenarios targeting the $1.75 support zone. A breakdown below this level, particularly on increased volume, would invalidate current TON price prediction models and target the strong support at $1.72.
The most concerning bearish outcome involves a capitulation move toward the $0.55 strong support level, though this scenario appears unlikely given current market structure. RSI falling below 30 would signal oversold exhaustion, while MACD histogram expanding below -0.02 would confirm accelerating downside momentum.
Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy
Current technical positioning suggests a measured approach to the buy or sell TON decision. Conservative investors should await a confirmed break above $1.87 with volume expansion before initiating positions. This approach sacrifices early entry profits for reduced downside risk.
Aggressive traders might consider scaled entries between $1.75-$1.80, positioning for the anticipated recovery rally. Risk management becomes crucial at these levels, with stop-losses placed below $1.72 to limit downside exposure. Position sizing should remain modest given the medium confidence level across analyst predictions.
The optimal entry strategy involves waiting for RSI to climb above 40 and MACD histogram to show improvement before committing significant capital. This confirmation-based approach aligns with the technical setup while respecting the current bearish momentum.
TON Price Prediction Conclusion
Toncoin technical analysis supports a cautiously optimistic outlook for the next 4-6 weeks, with the TON price prediction targeting the $2.50-$2.70 range representing a compelling risk-reward proposition. The convergence of multiple analyst forecasts around this level provides additional confidence in the medium-term Toncoin forecast.
Key indicators to monitor include RSI breaking above 40, MACD achieving a bullish crossover, and volume expanding above 25 million daily. Failure to hold the $1.75-$1.79 support zone would invalidate this prediction and require reassessment of the bearish alternative.
The timeline for this TON price prediction extends through December 2025, with initial confirmation signals expected within 7-10 trading days. Confidence level remains medium, reflecting the current technical uncertainty while acknowledging the significant upside potential from oversold conditions.
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