Bitcoin has entered a vulnerable phase after days of pressure and uncertainty sales. The bull is working to protect this important territory, but the momentum is clearly fading. The market is currently falling into a retention pattern, with investors being aware that Bitcoin will stabilize or decline in the previous session.
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Despite its weaknesses, there is still no clear signal for deeper corrections. Historically, retrace within the ongoing bull market often acts as a reset rather than a trend reversal, but pressure on Bitcoin has nevertheless caused debate over the short-term direction. Holding beyond the current level is becoming increasingly important. Otherwise, they could change their feelings further in favor of the bear.
Top analyst Axel Adler described the current environment as a neutral base. In other words, flow and price action lack the beliefs needed for a critical bullish push. Until stronger demand arises, Bitcoin’s recovery could be limited to technical bounce rather than sustained gatherings.
Bitcoin is stuck on a neutral beash base
According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s current structure remains vulnerable as both price and derivative flows are below 50, indicating weakness across key metrics. Adler emphasizes that short-term rebounds are possible, but the market does not have the convictions needed for a sustained upward trend. With Taker’s flow still negative and weak, recovery from current levels could be an average reversal bounce, tailored to fair value and 30-day range, rather than the beginning of a new bullish phase.
This environment suggests that risk appetite remains absent and that the market remains vulnerable to further testing at low boundaries. Adler notes that unless the flow shifts meaningfully, price increases will remain capped and are likely to fade quickly as sales pressures resurface. The closest bullish setup requires stabilization of flows that could push BTC from $113,000 to $115,000 regions.
For a true change in market structure, Adler refers to two important thresholds. Flow > 55 and price index > 50. Only if both conditions are met will Bitcoin have a stronger, trend-filling rally foundation. Until then, the market has faced an increasing risk of repeated retesting of support zones, with traders closely monitoring whether BTC exceeds $110,000 or even slipping into the realm of corrections.
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BTC holding lines above $110K
Bitcoin continues to consolidate the $110-111K zone from around $1.1 million, showing resilience after weeks of rapid sales pressure. The chart highlights how BTC has bounced back from its recent lows of nearly $108,000, but it still struggles to regain higher momentum. The 50-day moving average now serves as resistance, suppressing upward attempts and reflects a decline in bullishness.
Despite the all-time high of pullbacks starting at $123,000, the structure remains at a 200-day moving average of nearly $101,000, and has consistently served as long-term support. Current pricing measures show a balanced market. The Bulls defend demand, but the bears are still under pressure as they are being rejected at the $112,000 level.
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The flat trajectory of the 100-day moving average suggests that a critical breakout is needed to strengthen the integration phase and confirm the orientation. If Bitcoin exceeds $113,000 in the short term, you can set up a retest of 118K, a midrange level that acts as both support and resistance.
Failure to hold the $110K level will allow you to expose your BTC to a $100,000 repeat test. For now, the fate of Bitcoin depends on whether buyers can stabilize the flow and absorb ongoing sales pressure.
Dall-E special images, TradingView chart
